地质−工程驱动的邻井辅助同井钻速预测与优化方法

Prediction and Optimization of ROP Based on Geological and Engineering Parameters Fusion Model

  • 摘要: 渤海中部沙河街组储层主要为泥岩和深色砂泥岩,在钻遇该储层时机械钻速整体偏低,严重影响钻井周期与钻井成本。为解决上述问题,建立了基于地质−工程一体化的钻速预测与优化模型。该模型包括钻速预测与钻速优化2部分,钻速预测部分基于地质与工程融合数据建立了邻井辅助同井钻速预测模型。在完成钻速预测后,定义了特征贡献度系数量化不同特征参数对最终结果的影响程度。基于特征贡献度系数既可以对预测结果进行解释,也可以得到对钻速影响较大且人为可控的参数。针对显著影响钻速且人为可控的参数,钻速优化模型通过网格搜索优化算法寻找最优参数组合,从而实现钻井提速。基于该模型对钻速优化可知,在测试井上钻速平均提高6.34%,对预测结果贡献最大的3组参数分别是伽马值、钻压、钻头钻井时长。该模型综合考虑地质与工程因素,实现了高精度钻速预测与大幅度钻速提升,在实际应用的2口开发井中为钻速提升提供了有效的指导。

     

    Abstract: The main lithology of the Shahejie Formation reservoir is mudstone and dark sandy mudstone, and the rate of penetration (ROP) is generally low when drilling through this formation, significantly impacting the drilling cycle and costs. To address this issue, a geologically and engineering-integrated ROP prediction and optimization model is proposed. This model consists of two parts: ROP prediction and ROP optimization. The prediction model leverages geological and engineering data to establish an auxiliary same-well ROP prediction model based on adjacent well data. After completing the ROP prediction, a feature contribution coefficient is defined to quantify the influence of various features on the final result. This coefficient allows for both an interpretation of the predicted results and the identification of key controllable parameters that significantly impact ROP. For these key controllable parameters, the ROP optimization model uses a grid search optimization algorithm to identify the optimal parameter combination, thereby improving ROP. Results from applying the prediction and optimization model show an average ROP increase of 6.34% in test wells, with the three parameters contributing most to the prediction results being gamma values, weight on bit, and bit drilling time. This ROP prediction and optimization model effectively integrates geological and engineering factors, achieving high-accuracy ROP predictions and substantial ROP improvements, providing valuable guidance for ROP enhancement in two development wells where it has been applied.

     

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