地质−工程驱动的邻井辅助同井钻速预测与优化方法

Prediction and Optimization of ROP Assisted by Adjacent Well Data Based on Geological and Engineering Driving

  • 摘要: 渤海中部沙河街组储层主要为泥岩和深色砂泥岩,在钻遇该储层时机械钻速偏低,严重影响钻井周期与钻井成本。为解决上述问题,建立了基于地质−工程一体化的钻速预测与优化模型。该模型包括钻速预测与钻速优化2部分,基于地质与工程融合数据建立了邻井辅助同井钻速预测模型;在完成钻速预测后,定义了特征贡献度系数,以量化不同特征参数对最终结果的影响程度,既可以基于特征贡献度系数对预测结果进行解释,也可以得到对钻速影响较大且可人为可控的参数。针对显著影响钻速且可人为可控的参数,钻速优化模型通过网格搜索优化算法寻找最优参数组合,从而实现钻井提速。基于该模型对钻速优化可知,测试井的钻速平均提高了6.34%,对预测结果贡献最大的3组参数分别是伽马值、钻压和钻头钻井时长。该模型综合考虑了地质与工程因素,实现了高精度钻速预测与钻速大幅度提高,在实际应用的2口开发井中为钻速提高提供了有效的指导。

     

    Abstract: The main lithology of the Shahejie Formation reservoir in the central Bohai Sea is mudstone and dark sandy mudstone, and the rate of penetration (ROP) is generally low when drilling through this reservoir, significantly influencing the drilling cycle and costs. To address this issue, a ROP prediction and optimization model integrating geology and engineering was proposed. This model consisted of two parts: ROP prediction and ROP optimization. The ROP prediction leveraged geological and engineering data to establish an ROP prediction model of the drilled well assisted by adjacent well data. After completing the ROP prediction, a feature contribution coefficient was defined to quantify the influence of different feature parameters on the final result. This feature contribution coefficient allowed for both an interpretation of the predicted results and the identification of controllable parameters that significantly affect ROP. For these controllable parameters, the ROP optimization model used a grid search optimization algorithm to explore the optimal parameter combination, thereby improving ROP. The ROP optimization results based on this model show that the ROP of the test well increases by 6.34% on average, with the three parameters contributing most to the prediction results being gamma values, weight on bit, and bit drilling time. This model effectively integrates geological and engineering parameters, achieving high-accuracy ROP predictions and substantial ROP improvements and providing valuable guidance for ROP enhancement in two development wells where it has been applied.

     

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