理论模型与机器学习融合的PDC钻头钻速预测方法

The Method to Predict ROP of PDC Bits Based on Fusion of Theoretical Model and Machine Learning

  • 摘要: 为了提高PDC钻头机械钻速的预测精度,为现场工程人员指导钻井生产提供依据,基于Teale模型,综合考虑井下螺杆钻具、水力破岩、旋转冲击钻具破岩能量参数,引入PDC门限钻压和门限扭矩,修正钻压与扭矩的计算方法,建立复合比能械钻速理论方程;基于钻速比概念,建立了理论与数据深度融合的机械钻速预测模型。验证结果表明,该模型既保证了理论方向的正确,又综合利用了数据驱动学习的优点,提高了PDC钻头的机械钻速预测精度。通过顺北实钻井数据验证该融合方法的预测精度,结合实例优化分析可大幅提高机械钻速。该方法可为优化钻井参数和评价钻头破岩效果、优选提速工具提供有效的量化工具,具有重要的推广应用价值。

     

    Abstract: In order to improve the prediction accuracy of the rate of penetration (ROP) of polycrystalline diamond compact (PDC) bits and provide a basis for field engineers to guide drilling production, the energy parameters of downhole screw drilling tools, hydraulic rock breaking, and rotary impact drilling tools were comprehensively considered based on the Teale model. In addition, the concepts of PDC threshold weight on bit (WOB) and threshold torque were introduced, and the calculation methods of WOB and torque were corrected. The theoretical equation of ROP of composite specific energy was established. Based on the concept of ROP ratio, a prediction model of ROP based on deep fusion of theory and data was established. The results show that the model not only points out the correct theoretical direction but also comprehensively utilizes the advantages of data-driven learning, and it further improves the prediction accuracy of ROP of PDC bits. The prediction accuracy of the fusion method was verified by the actual drilling data in Shunbei, and the ROP can be greatly improved by the optimization analysis of the example. This method can provide an effective quantitative tool for optimizing drilling parameters, evaluating rock breaking effect of drill bits, and upgrading speed-up tools, which has important application value.

     

/

返回文章
返回